EHC Arosa sits dead last in the Swiss League table with 21 points through 38 games, which is the kind of misery that tends to compound on itself as January drags on. The
GCK Lions arrive in slightly less dire shape—eighth place, 50 points—but still hovering uncomfortably close to relevance and irrelevance in equal measure. This isn't a battle for playoff positioning so much as a test of who can stomach the grind better on a cold Monday night in the mountains.
Arosa's recent stretch tells you everything you need to know about their season. Five straight losses, most of them lopsided or decided by the thinnest margins, including a 10-4 drubbing at home to La Chaux-de-Fonds that felt less like a hockey game and more like a public reckoning. They've scored first in a few of these and still collapsed, which suggests the defensive structure isn't holding when it matters. What stands out to me is how often they're competitive for 40 minutes and then simply run out of answers—or legs. The home crowd in Arosa can be a factor when the building has energy, but it's hard to generate momentum when you've won once in your last dozen outings. Goaltending hasn't been catastrophic, but it hasn't stolen them anything either, and in a season like this, you need a few gifts.
The Lions, meanwhile, have been oddly streaky on the road—they've picked up points in spurts but rarely look comfortable away from Küsnacht. Their recent form isn't exactly inspiring, but they've shown the ability to dictate pace when their top lines are engaged. They swept the season series so far, winning all three meetings by multiple goals, and while past results don't guarantee anything, they do suggest a level of familiarity and confidence. The Lions forecheck when they're sharp, and Arosa's defensive zone coverage has been vulnerable to exactly that kind of pressure. If the visitors can establish their cycle game early, this could get uncomfortable quickly.
Frankly, it's hard to ignore the psychological weight of Arosa's current run. They're playing like a team that knows the season is lost, and the Lions—while not exactly flying—have enough to exploit that. This feels like a narrow edge to the visitors, though hockey at this level is chaotic enough that a fluky early goal or a hot goalie can flip the script. Still, the Lions appear slightly more likely to find a way through.
Match Odds EHC Arosa – GCK Lions
Leon's odds are 4.1 on EHC Arosa winning at home.
At this moment our odds are equal to 1.64 on GCK Lions visiting team's winning.
Draw odds are 4.82.
