There's something quietly stubborn about Leksands this season — they keep hanging around the middle of the
SHL table without ever quite looking secure. Thirty-four points through thirty-five games puts them squarely in that zone where you're neither comfortable nor desperate, just perpetually aware that the next three-game skid could scramble everything. Brynäs, meanwhile, arrives with forty-six points and a level of composure that suggests they've figured out how to win games without dazzling anyone in the process.
Leksands plays an aggressive, risk-on brand of hockey at home that can look brilliant one night and porous the next. They've been scoring — five against HV 71, three against Linköping — but they've also been leaking goals in bunches, like that 6-4 loss to Frölunda where they couldn't defend with the lead. What stands out to me is how often they win games by a single goal or lose them the same way, which tells you they're always in it but rarely in control. The forecheck is committed, sometimes to a fault, and when it breaks down, goalies get hung out to dry. There's no real injury crisis to speak of, but there's also no margin for error when your defensive structure is this inconsistent. At home, they feed off the crowd and play faster than they probably should.
Brynäs on the road has been solid without being spectacular, which in the
SHL might be the smarter approach. They don't try to outrun opponents; they clog lanes, force turnovers, and capitalize on mistakes with quiet efficiency. Frankly, it's hard to ignore how well they've handled Leksands this season — both meetings so far have gone their way, including a 4-1 win in Leksand back in December. They don't chase the game, and they don't panic when things tighten up. The gap in the standings isn't massive, but the gap in composure might be.
This matchup is likely to turn on whether Leksands can sustain their tempo without giving up odd-man rushes, and whether Brynäs can handle the early storm without letting the game open up. I can't help but notice that Leksands tends to run out of gas late when they've spent too much energy early, and Brynäs has been excellent at exploiting that.
Brynäs probably has a narrow edge here. They're calmer, more structured, and they've already shown they can win in this building. But hockey's weird, and Leksands at home is always capable of flipping the script with one hot period. Still, the smarter bet is on the visitors finding a way.
Match Odds Leksands IF – Brynas IF
Leon's odds are 2.86 on Leksands IF triumphing at home.
At this moment our odds are equal to 2.14 on Brynas IF visiting team's winning.
Draw odds are 4.11.
